INdustrycTceh INsight Logo

Wild inflation will increase financial assets, researcher Jim Bianco warns

Wild inflation will increase financial assets, researcher Jim Bianco warns

April 11, 2022: -There may be no escape from the bond market turmoil even for stock investors.

Market researcher Jim Bianco warns critical Federal Reserve policies to control wild inflation will inflict widespread losses on Wall Street.

“Eventually, this will come back and hurt all financial assets,” the Bianco Research president told CNBC on Thursday.

Bianco turned bearish on stocks late last year due to inflation risks. He blames the Fed for waiting too long to end its pandemic easy money policies and lift interest rates.

“The call last year that inflation would be well-contained and transitory is arguably one of the worst forecasts in Federal Reserve history,” said Bianco. “They are stuck with this ultra-aggressive policy because they didn’t start raising rates at a very leisurely pace a year ago.”

He worries about the considerable catch-up costs.

“They don’t intend on creating a hard landing. But what they intend to do is reining in prices,” Bianco said. “They want lower inflation, and they’re going to raise rates till they get lower inflation. How are they going to do that? They’re going to slow demand down.”

According to Bianco, the Fed’s solution is to boot interest rates quickly and get wealthy people to stop spending. The bond market is already discounting the central bank’s likely bold moves.

“The bond market gets it. The carnage is epic,” he wrote in a recent Twitter thread. “This is not only the worst bond market in our career (total return) but might be the worst of our lifetime.”

Bianco, who sees a 75% chance of inflation within the coming two years, expects a 50 basis point hike at its next policy meeting on May 3 through May 4.

“It will be 50 [basis points] all the way through until the Fed raises rates too much and breaks something. And then they’ll be done. But, they’re not going to go back to 25,” he said. “If the stock market wants to go up, maybe they should be talking about 75 instead of 50.” Bianco contends the Fed is aware the stakes are high.

“They don’t want to create a mistake in a different direction by being too timid right now. “They don’t want to create a broken market. They don’t want to create a recession. That’s out the window now,” Bianco said. But when you go down that path, and you’re that adamant about trying to rein in inflation, it is very likely that you will create a mistake.”

About Us

We provide the insights on leaders who are responsible for taking their organization to new heights, all the while bringing together a group of talented individuals.

Recent Posts

Paycor | Making HR Simpler with AI | Ryan Bergstrom

Paycor’s human capital management (HCM) platform modernizes every aspect of people management, from recruiting, onboarding, and payroll to career development and retention, but what really sets us apart is our focus on leaders.

KAIRA | Easing Financial Stress for Employees | Eric Mac Nicoll

In today’s day and age, there are numerous reports of increasing anxiety levels, low motivation, and exhaustion. But have we ever thought that the people struggling with those problems are the same people showing up to work at various organizations? This is not about a few employees just having a bad day.

HiBob | The Right HR Partner | Ronni Zehavi

HiBob is at the forefront of HR innovation, transforming the way organizations operate in the modern world of work with its award-winning HCM ‘Bob’. Its modular approach caters to the needs of multinational companies seeking agile technology and robust analytics to support operations across distributed workforces in the ever-evolving economic and workplace landscape.

Wild inflation will increase financial assets, researcher Jim Bianco warns