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China’s Industrial Output Rises 5.6% in May

China’s industrial sector exhibited continued growth in May 2024, according to data released by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) on June 17th. The value-added industrial output, a key economic indicator, grew by 5.6% year-on-year in May. This increase matched analyst expectations and aligns with the government’s projected 5% GDP growth target for 2024.

While the growth rate represents a slight deceleration compared to the 6.7% increase recorded in April, it signifies sustained momentum in China’s industrial production. This resilience is particularly noteworthy given the ongoing global economic uncertainties.

The positive data extends beyond industrial output. Retail sales in China also demonstrated encouraging signs in May. Year-on-year growth in retail sales reached 3.7%, surpassing analyst predictions of 3.0%. This uptick suggests a potential resurgence in consumer spending, which can act as a buffer against a broader economic slowdown.

However, the data also reveals some areas requiring attention. Fixed asset investment, another crucial economic indicator, grew by 4.0% year-to-date in May. This figure fell short of the anticipated 4.2% growth and reflects ongoing challenges in China’s real estate market, as evidenced by a notable decline in property development investment.

Analysts view the positive industrial output and retail sales figures as positive indicators for China’s economic trajectory. The continued growth in these sectors suggests that the world’s second-largest economy is on track to achieve its projected growth target for 2024. However, the slowdown in fixed asset investment highlights potential risks that must be addressed to ensure sustainable economic expansion.

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